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Nov. 17 issue — Every Thursday, President George W. Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney have lunch together in a small dining room off the Oval Office. They eat alone; no aides are present. They have no fixed agenda, but it’s a safe assumption that they often talk about intelligence—about what the United States knows, or doesn’t know, about the terrorist threat. |
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THE PRESIDENT RESPECTS
Cheney’s judgment, say White House aides, and values the veep’s long
experience in the intelligence community (as President Gerald Ford’s
chief of staff, as a member of the House Intelligence Committee in the
1980s and as secretary of Defense in the George H.W. Bush
administration). As vice president, Cheney is free to roam about the
various agencies, quizzing analysts and top spooks about terrorists and
their global connections. “This is a very important area. It’s the one
the president asked me to work on ... I ask a lot of hard questions,”
Cheney told NBC’s Tim Russert last September. “That’s my job.” |
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Of all the president’s advisers,
Cheney has consistently taken the most dire view of the terrorist
threat. On Iraq, Bush was the decision maker. But more
than any adviser, Cheney was the one to make the case to the president
that war against Iraq was an urgent necessity. Beginning in the late
summer of 2002, he persistently warned that Saddam was stocking up on
chemical and biological weapons, and last March, on the eve of the
invasion, he declared that “we believe that he [Saddam Hussein] has in
fact reconstituted nuclear weapons.” (Cheney later said that he meant
“program,” not “weapons.” He also said, a bit optimistically, “I really
do believe that we will be greeted as liberators.”) After seven months,
investigators are still looking for that arsenal of WMD. |
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A Cheney aide took strong exception to the
notion that the vice president was at the receiving end of some kind of
private pipeline for half-baked or fraudulent intelligence, or that he
was somehow carrying water for the neocons or anyone else’s self-serving
agendas. “That’s an urban myth,” said this aide, who declined to be
identified. Cheney has cited as his “gold standard” the National
Intelligence Estimate, a consensus report put out by the entire
intelligence community. And, indeed, an examination of the declassified
version of the NIE reveals some pretty alarming warnings. “Baghdad is
reconstituting its nuclear weapons program,” the October 2002 NIE
states. |
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Cheney, say those who
know him, has always had a Hobbesian view of life. The world is a
dangerous place; war is the natural state of mankind; enemies lurk. The
national-security state must be strong, vigilant and wary. Cheney
believes that America’s military and intelligence establishments were
weakened by defeat in Vietnam and the wave of scandals that followed in
Watergate in the ’70s and Iran-contra in the ’80s. He did not regard as
progress the rise of congressional investigating committees, special
prosecutors and an increasingly adversarial, aggressive press. Cheney is
a strong believer in the necessity of government secrecy as well as more
broadly the need to preserve and protect the power of the executive
branch. |
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One such moment came at the end of the first
gulf war in 1991. Cheney was secretary of Defense, and arms inspectors
visiting defeated Iraq had discovered that Saddam Hussein was much
closer to building a nuclear weapon than anyone had realized. Why,
Cheney wondered aloud to his aides, had a steady stream of U.S.
intelligence experts beaten a path to his door before the war to say
that the Iraqis were at least five to 10 years away from building a
bomb? Years later, in meetings of the second President Bush’s war
cabinet, Cheney would return again and again to the question of how
Saddam could create an entire hidden nuclear program without the CIA’s
knowing much, if anything, about it. |
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What changed Cheney was
not Chalabi or his friends from AEI, but the 9/11 attacks. For years
Cheney had feared—and warned against—a terrorist attack on an American
city. The hijacked planes that plowed into the World Trade Center and
the Pentagon confirmed his suspicions of American vulnerability—though
by no means his worst fears—that the terrorists would use a biological
or nuclear weapon. “9/11 changed everything,” Cheney began saying to
anyone who would listen. It was no longer enough to treat terrorism as a
law-enforcement matter, Cheney believed. The United States had to find
ways to act against the terrorists before they struck. |
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There was, within the administration,
another office parsing through intelligence on the Iraqi and terror
threat. The Office of Special Plans was so secretive at first that the
director, William Luti, did not even want to mention its existence.
“Don’t ever talk about this,” Luti told his staff, according to a source
who attended early meetings. “If anybody asks, just say no comment.” (Luti
does not recall this, but he does regret choosing such a spooky name for
the office.) The Office of Special Plans has sometimes been described as
an intelligence cell, along the lines of “Team B,” set up by the Ford
administration in the 1970s to second-guess the CIA when conservatives
believed that the intelligence community was underestimating the Soviet
threat. But OSP is more properly described as a planning group—planning
for war in Iraq. Some of the OSP staffers were true believers. Abe
Shulsky, a defense intellectual who ran the office under Luti, was a
Straussian, a student of a philosopher named Leo Strauss, who believed
that ancient texts had hidden meanings that only an elite could divine.
Strauss taught that philosophers needed to tell —”noble lies” to the
politicians and the people. With Tamara Lipper, Richard Wolffe and Roy
Gutman |
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Nov. 17 issue — Every Thursday, President George W. Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney have lunch together in a small dining room off the Oval Office. They eat alone; no aides are present. They have no fixed agenda, but it’s a safe assumption that they often talk about intelligence—about what the United States knows, or doesn’t know, about the terrorist threat. |
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
THE PRESIDENT RESPECTS
Cheney’s judgment, say White House aides, and values the veep’s long
experience in the intelligence community (as President Gerald Ford’s
chief of staff, as a member of the House Intelligence Committee in the
1980s and as secretary of Defense in the George H.W. Bush
administration). As vice president, Cheney is free to roam about the
various agencies, quizzing analysts and top spooks about terrorists and
their global connections. “This is a very important area. It’s the one
the president asked me to work on ... I ask a lot of hard questions,”
Cheney told NBC’s Tim Russert last September. “That’s my job.” |
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Of all the president’s advisers,
Cheney has consistently taken the most dire view of the terrorist
threat. On Iraq, Bush was the decision maker. But more
than any adviser, Cheney was the one to make the case to the president
that war against Iraq was an urgent necessity. Beginning in the late
summer of 2002, he persistently warned that Saddam was stocking up on
chemical and biological weapons, and last March, on the eve of the
invasion, he declared that “we believe that he [Saddam Hussein] has in
fact reconstituted nuclear weapons.” (Cheney later said that he meant
“program,” not “weapons.” He also said, a bit optimistically, “I really
do believe that we will be greeted as liberators.”) After seven months,
investigators are still looking for that arsenal of WMD. |
|
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A Cheney aide took strong exception to the
notion that the vice president was at the receiving end of some kind of
private pipeline for half-baked or fraudulent intelligence, or that he
was somehow carrying water for the neocons or anyone else’s self-serving
agendas. “That’s an urban myth,” said this aide, who declined to be
identified. Cheney has cited as his “gold standard” the National
Intelligence Estimate, a consensus report put out by the entire
intelligence community. And, indeed, an examination of the declassified
version of the NIE reveals some pretty alarming warnings. “Baghdad is
reconstituting its nuclear weapons program,” the October 2002 NIE
states. |
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Cheney, say those who
know him, has always had a Hobbesian view of life. The world is a
dangerous place; war is the natural state of mankind; enemies lurk. The
national-security state must be strong, vigilant and wary. Cheney
believes that America’s military and intelligence establishments were
weakened by defeat in Vietnam and the wave of scandals that followed in
Watergate in the ’70s and Iran-contra in the ’80s. He did not regard as
progress the rise of congressional investigating committees, special
prosecutors and an increasingly adversarial, aggressive press. Cheney is
a strong believer in the necessity of government secrecy as well as more
broadly the need to preserve and protect the power of the executive
branch. |
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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|
|
|
One such moment came at the end of the first
gulf war in 1991. Cheney was secretary of Defense, and arms inspectors
visiting defeated Iraq had discovered that Saddam Hussein was much
closer to building a nuclear weapon than anyone had realized. Why,
Cheney wondered aloud to his aides, had a steady stream of U.S.
intelligence experts beaten a path to his door before the war to say
that the Iraqis were at least five to 10 years away from building a
bomb? Years later, in meetings of the second President Bush’s war
cabinet, Cheney would return again and again to the question of how
Saddam could create an entire hidden nuclear program without the CIA’s
knowing much, if anything, about it. |
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